Dealers have always been the traditional short storage compound fertilizer, but this year the situation may be different with the previous years -- dealers on the short storage compound fertilizer may be more cautious, price has become one of the most critical elements of compound fertilizer light storage. The author analysis, dealers this year short storage compound fertilizer enthusiasm is not high, mainly for the following several aspects to consider:
One is the last dealer short storage compound fertilizer income is not high, as urea. At the end of last year the price of urea appeared low, in a wave better prices before the Spring Festival, the operation of income is good. The compound fertilizer prices have been relatively stable, dealers short storage is not lost, but also can earn, some dealers is to earn the interest bearing factory.
Two is the compound fertilizer price than the single high fertilizer. At present, the urea prices in the 1580 yuan (ton price, the same below), port 60% Russian Red potash price is in commonly 2020 yuan, 55% powdered ammonium low ex factory price of 1700 yuan, according to the calculation, 45% chlorine based compound fertilizer complete cost about 1800 yuan, and the current factory quotation generally in 1950 yuan of above, compound fertilizer prices are down space.
Three is a composite fertilizer capacity. Now everywhere in the construction of compound fertilizer factory, simply do not like in the past that season of compound fertilizer production does not come out, need to advance preparation. Now the production of very fast, and the transportation is also very convenient, so the corrosion spot fertilizer storage also never mind, distributors generally on the short storage do not worry.
Four is the price of diammonium phosphate impact. Many northern region can also be diammonium phosphate compound fertilizer, the Chinese diammonium phosphate export FOB down to $375, after deducting the tariffs, freight, the ex factory price of less than 2000 yuan. Such a low price that DAP is difficult to export, so only to occupy the domestic market. Such diammonium phosphate and compound fertilizer is a fierce competition. Northeast area is always the key market compound fertilizer reserves, at present the local fertilizer reserves have been slow to start, but because of diammonium phosphate at low price, only 2450 yuan, the impact on the formation of compound fertilizer market, so that dealers can not easily action.
The author thinks, affected by the above factors, this year the dealers wait-and-see period will be longer, the whole short storage will be delayed, compound fertilizer reserves are still waiting for the right time to start.